William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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MOORE LOSING IN ALABAMA? – AT 1:51 P.M. ET:  A new poll shows highly controversial Republican Senate candidate behind the Democrat in Alabama.  This normally is a safe Republican state.  From The Hill:

Democrat Doug Jones is leading Republican Roy Moore in Alabama's Senate race in the wake of explosive accusations of sexual misconduct against Moore, according to a new poll released Sunday.
Forty-six percent of likely voters polled said they would vote for Jones, while 42 percent said they would vote for Moore, according to the Louisiana-based JMC Analytics and Polling. 

The survey was conducted on Nov. 9 and Nov. 11, after The Washington Post reported that a woman said Moore had initiated a sexual encounter with her in 1979, when she was 14 years old and he was 32.

In RealClearPolitics's average of polls, Moore was leading by 6 points prior to the Post report. A Friday poll, the first following the scandal, found Moore and Jones tied.

Thirty-eight percent of voters surveyed in the Sunday poll said they were less likely to support Moore following the accusations, while 29 percent of voters said they were more likely to support him. 

COMMENT:  If truth be told, the national Republican party would like Moore to lose.  If he wins, he'd become a lightning rod in the Senate, and the party would have to at least nominally defend him, which it doesn't want to do.  A commentator said on Friday that the GOP would rather have 51 votes in the Senate without Moore than 52 with him, and I think that's accurate.

November 12, 2017